Boris Johnson’s near the exit door of 10 Downing Street

Boris Johnson has faced leadership crises, including Britain’s withdrawal from the European Union, the Covid epidemic, many Covid victims, and government contracts. Faced with constant friends and supporters and celebrations in government buildings during the covid19 quarantine, he is now under pressure from opposition parties and from within his party to step down as soon as possible. Moreover, poll outcomes show the prime minister’s sharp decline in popularity and the sinking of the Conservative Party. Will he quit his job before the 2024 election?

Tories’ persistence on Johnson’s incompetence

Tobias Ellwood, a Conservative MP and former Deputy Secretary of Defense said he had written a letter to the Conservative Party’s 1922 committee to address Boris Johnson’s political incompetence. Conservative MP Anthony Mangnall also wrote a letter calling for the prime minister’s removal. Then Gary Streeter, another Conservative MP, wrote a letter calling for Boris Johnson’s incompetence.

A former Conservative minister has said that Boris Johnson’s term as Prime Minister on Downing Street is coming to an end. Asked if he had previously sent a letter to Graham Brady, chairman of the 1992 committee, the senior official said: “No, I have not – but I’m making it. “I want to make it clear to you that I am carefully considering the next cases.” Asked if it was “the beginning of the end” for Mr Johnson, he said: “It looks like it now… It’s challenging for the Prime Minister from here.”

Will the 1922 Committee oust Johnson?

According to the Conservative Party’s internal regulations, the 1922 Committee of the Conservative Party will be set up whenever 15% of its representatives demand the removal of the Conservative leader. Given the number of Conservative MPs in the current British Parliament, at least 54 MPs must now call for the process to begin. Boris Johnson’s opponents are worried that his declining popularity could lead to the party failing in the next election. 

Theresa May, the former leader of the Conservative Party and former Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, also addressed the British Parliament, referring to the repeated violations of quarantine rules in the Prime Minister’s Office and building, the harshest critical words after Johnson came to power.

Johnson’s decline was more pronounced and more likely when the Conservatives, like the British Prime Minister’s counterparts, lost the Liberal Democrat midterm elections in North Shropshire; this was unprecedented since 1832.

Who will be the next leader of Tories?

 Johnson’s resignation will not be a problem for Tories, as there is no shortage of candidates for the post. Of course, Johnson’s possible resignation sparks a two-stage rivalry between the Conservatives, with both the party leader and the prime minister winning. British Treasury Secretary Sunak has garnered widespread support among conservatives by managing the cost of the Corona crisis.

 Liz Truss, Britain’s foreign secretary, is also one of the options to replace Johnson in the Conservative Party. It’s work. Truss, 46, is a former opponent and new supporter of Brexit.

Johnson’s successor

 While Rishi Sunak is a popular replacement for Johnson, Liz Truss hopes for Johnson’s chair. Michael Gove, Jeremy Hunt, Dominic Robb, Priti Patel and Matt Hancock are also listed. Observers and analysts believe Sunak is the most likely candidate for prime minister. Known as an emerging figure in British politics, he sees his situation improve as the Health Minister’s Sajid Javid team struggles with the Prime Minister’s team. After five years in politics, the 41-year-old British-Indian reached the British Ministry of Finance in 2020. His late support for Johnson following his recent apology shows that he is serious about replacing the prime minister.

Poll outcomes

Opinion polls show Boris Johnson’s sharp decline in popularity as well as the sinking of the Conservative Party. According to the survey, most people affiliated with different political groups or from diverse demographic backgrounds believe that Johnson and his colleagues have broken the law and lied about it and that Johnson should resign. The scandal of holding a party and Johnson’s company during the quarantine of May 2020 and when the whole country is in general quarantine has even reduced the support of the conservative supporters of the Conservative Party.

These voters have long felt that a political class ignores their concerns and lives according to its wishes or laws. With the revelation of Johnson’s participation in the party and the violation of his quarantine rules, he has become one of the most critical assets of the party and the biggest weakness of the party. Over 1,271 people participated in the poll, and the results revealed that Prime Minister’s satisfaction rating has fallen to the same level as Theresa May’s worst score.

When is the next British general election?

The next British general election is scheduled for May 2024, but the dissolution of Parliament may mark early polls. It should be noted that the decline in public opinion of conservatives in recent polls has reduced their willingness to hold early elections. However, a senior member of the British Conservative Party did not rule out the possibility of early elections in 2022 or 2023. The Labour Party is now the main rival of the Conservative Party in public opinion, with 37% of its popularity.

Conclusion

Evidence in London suggests that Johnson will be the last Conservative prime minister after David Cameron and Theresa May. A Labour member will be at the helm of power in Britain. On the other hand, with Joe Biden in the presidency, the situation has become more difficult for British Prime Minister Boris Johnson.

 Donald Trump has disappeared as a significant foreign backer trusted by Prime Minister Boris Johnson and hardline Conservatives on leaving the EU. On the other hand, the London dispute with Paris and Berlin has entered a new phase after Brexit. The outcome of this controversy has been more to the detriment of Britain than the European Union! British citizens are now heartbroken about free travel to European countries.

On the other hand, many analysts consider Boris Johnson’s full support for Brexit his worst mistake. Last year, it was clear that the consequences of the Johnson administration’s Brexit decision would remain in place for at least ten years. Even the realisation of a soft Brexit (exit with an agreement with the European Union) will create crises such as the slowdown in the British economy, the shrinking of the British economy and rising unemployment. Beyond that, it was clear that Britain would effectively turn London into a suspended actor in the international system for up to a decade in the event of a soft Brexit. But now, Brexit has become the code for the possible collapse of the Johnson administration. The British Prime Minister has now lost the power to persuade his country’s public opinion about the legal, economic and social effects and consequences, and at the same time, cannot manage an internal crisis.